Tuesday, February 10, 2015

Notes (2/2/15)- Inflation

  • I. Inflation: rise in general level of prices
    • standard rate is 2%-3%
  • II. Measuring Inflation
    • a. Inflation rate: measures the % increase in the price level over time; key indicator of the economy's health
      • i. deflation: decline in general price level
      • ii. disinflation: when the inflation rate itself declines
    • b. Consumer Price Index (CPI): measures inflation buy tracking the yearly price of a fixed basket of consumer goods & services; in addition, indicates changes in cost of living and price level
  • III. Solving Inflation Problems
    • a. Finding inflation rate using market basket data
      • current year market basket value - base year market basket value / base year market basket value * 100
    • b. Finding inflation rate using price indexes
      • current year price index - base year price index / base year price index * 100
    • c. Estimating inflation using the Rule of 70
      • used to calculate # of years it will take the price level to double at any given rate of inflation
      • years needed to double inflation = 70 / annual inflation rate
    • d. Determining real wages
      • real wages = nominal wages / price level * 100
    • e. Finding real interest rates
      • real interest rate = nominal interest - inflation premium 
        • i. Real interest rate: cost of borrowing and lending adjusted for expected in inflation rate
        • Nominal interest rate: unadjusted cost of borrowing or lending money
  • IV. Cause of Inflation
    • a.Demand-pull inflation: cause by an excess of demand over output that pulls prices upward
    • Cost-pull inflation: caused by a rise in per unit production cost due to increasing resource cost
  • V. Effects of Inflation
    • Anticipated: anticipated inflation
    • Unanticipated inflation: not expecting inflation



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